Abstract

Rapid urbanization and land-use change cause risk in regional ecological security. It is very significance to explore the evolutionary trend of land-use change and landscape ecological risk (LER) in an ecologically fragile area, especially in terms of maintaining sustainable development in a regional ecological environment. We selected the Three Gorges Reservoir Region (TGRR) as the study area based on land-use and land-cover data for 2000, 2010, and 2020. The land-use classification system used here was constructed using the perspective of the production–living–ecological space (PLES). The GIS spatial-analysis technique and FRAGSTATS 4 software were used. We used the method of the land-use transfer matrix, the landscape ecological risk assessment model, the ecological contribution rate of land-use transfer, and spatial autocorrelation analysis. We performed quantitative analysis of the spatio-temporal pattern of PLES and its LER in the TGRR over the past 20 years. The results show that: (1) The area of human living space (HLS) has expanded significantly—by 1469.37 km2 (+326.66%), while the area of agricultural production space (APS) has been compressed by both the urban/rural living space (URLS) and the forestland ecological space (FES), particularly during the last 10 years; (2) The overall LER results were medium, but LER is increasing; (3) The LER in the northern area of the Yangtze River is higher than in the south. The Wanzhou district and the downstream areas had a lower LER; and (4) The transformation from agricultural production space to forestland ecological space and urban/rural living space has had a higher contribution rate to the LER compared to other events. These results can be used as a reference for land planning, sustainable development, and ecological civilization construction in ecologically fragile areas.

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