Abstract

Rapid urban expansion is a significant contributor to land cover change and poses a challenge to environmental sustainability, particularly in less developed countries. Insufficient data about urban expansion hinders effective land use planning. Therefore, a high need to collect, process, and disseminate land cover data exists. This study focuses on urban land cover change detection using Geographic Information Systems and remote sensing methods to produce baseline information in support for land use planning. We applied a supervised classification of land cover of LANDSAT data from 1987, 2002, and 2017. We mapped land cover transitions from 1987 to 2017 and computed the net land cover change during this time. Finally, we analyzed the mismatches between the past and current urban land cover and land use plans and quantified the non-urban development area lost to urban/built-up. Our results indicated an increase in urban/built-up and bare land cover types, while vegetation land cover decreased. We observed mismatches between past/current land cover and the existing land use plan. By providing detailed insights into mismatches between the regional land use plan and unregulated urban expansion, this study provides important information for a critical debate on the role and effectiveness of land use planning for environmental sustainability and sustainable urban development, particularly in less developed countries.

Highlights

  • Global urban growth/expansion continues to rapidly increase [1,2,3], causing significant impacts on land and environmental dynamics at the regional and local scales [4,5,6]

  • This study focuses on urban land cover change detection using Geographic Information Systems and remote sensing methods to produce baseline information in support for land use planning

  • By providing detailed insights into mismatches between the regional land use plan and unregulated urban expansion, this study provides important information for a critical debate on the role and effectiveness of land use planning for environmental sustainability and sustainable urban development, in less developed countries

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Summary

Introduction

Global urban growth/expansion continues to rapidly increase [1,2,3], causing significant impacts on land and environmental dynamics at the regional and local scales [4,5,6]. The associated land use/cover changes [7,8,9,10,11,12] pose a great challenge to environmental sustainability [13] and sustainable urban development [6]. In less developed countries (and in Sub-Saharan Africa), rapid urban expansion and growth of informal settlements challenge current efforts for sustainable land use planning [17]. The process of land use planning aims to resolve conflicts between national goals and local interests by balancing different purposes such as new settlements, protected areas, intensive agriculture, and animal husbandry

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