Abstract

• Growth curves are analyzed in size (difference in mean growth), tempo (the region’s year at peak growth velocity), and intensity (growth rate). • Latin America and the Caribbean maintains a historical gap in income per person growth with North America of 70% over the last two centuries. • Latin America and the Caribbean maintains an accumulated historical gap with North America of over 90% for all indicators of knowledge. • To study long-term trends, we use the concept of “saturation”, the integration of accumulated differences in growth curves through time. • Growth in income per capita seems to be slowing the rate of growth in publications, as seen in the curves for NA and EAP during the last few years. An economy based on primary products is present in most countries in Latin America and the Caribbean. These remain focused on the export of unprocessed materials and goods, with little added value from knowledge and technology, which creates a development gap with technologically advanced countries and regions. By using a set of 5 quantitative indicators, we provided a novel assessment of growth gaps in the production of knowledge across world regions. Our study interpreted growth curves in terms of their essential constituent components (i. e. size, tempo, and intensity). Latin America and the Caribbean remains a region with average or below-average performance for most indicators of knowledge and most components of growth. The region shows a relatively large intensity for growth in patent applications, high-tech exports, and scientific publications, and this may have to do with recent investment in R&D by some Latin American countries. Although education gaps are slightly closing, research and technological gaps, measured by patent applications and scientific publications, are widening and driving up the resulting gaps in economic growth. Our study adds to other assessments of growth gaps in establishing the existence of an increasing divide between Latin America and the Caribbean and the developed world regions. We also propose strategy recommendations in the context of the current observed gaps in the production of knowledge. Bridging knowledge gaps represents a historical imperative and an unavoidable condition for the economic and social progress of the Latin American region. Therefore, active domestic public policies are urgently needed, along with international agreements that contribute to democratizing access to knowledge and technology.

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