Abstract
Background:Based on current evidence, it is not clear whether lone hypertension increases the risk for severe illness from COVID-19, or if increased risk is mainly associated with age, obesity and diabetes. The objective of the study was to evaluate whether lone hypertension is associated with increase mortality or a more severe course of COVID-19, and if treatment and control of hypertension mitigates this risk.Methods:This is a prospective multi-center observational cohort study with 30-day outcomes of 9,531 consecutive SARS-CoV-2 PCR-positive patients ≥ 18 years old (41.9 ± 9.7 years, 49.2% male), Uzbekistan, June 1-September 30, 2020. Patients were subclassified according to JNC8 criteria into six blood pressure stages. Univariable and multiple logistic regression was conducted to examine how variables predict outcomes.Results:The 30-days all-cause mortality was 1.18% (n = 112) in the whole cohort. After adjusting for age, sex, history of myocardial infarction (MI), type-2 diabetes, and obesity, none of six JNC8 groups showed any significant difference in all-cause mortality. However, age was associated with an increased risk of 30-days all-cause mortality (OR = 1.09, 95%CI [1.07–1.12], p < 0.001), obesity (OR = 7.18, 95% CI [4.18–12.44], p < 0.001), diabetes (OR 4.18, 95% CI [2.58–6.76], p < 0.001), and history of MI (OR = 2.68, 95% CI [1.67–4.31], p < 0.001). In the sensitivity test, being ≥ 65 years old increased mortality 10.56-fold (95% CI [5.89–18.92], p < 0.001). Hospital admission was 12.4% (n = 1,183), ICU admission 1.38% (n = 132). The odds of hospitalization increased having stage-2 untreated hypertension (OR = 4.51, 95%CI [3.21–6.32], p < 0.001), stage-1 untreated hypertension (OR = 1.97, 95%CI [1.52–2.56], p < 0.001), and elevated blood pressure (OR = 1.82, 95% CI [1.42–2.34], p < 0.001). Neither stage-1 nor stage-2 treated hypertension patients were at statistically significant increased risk for hospitalization after adjusting for confounders. Presenting with stage-2 untreated hypertension increased the odds of ICU admission (OR = 3.05, 95 %CI [1.57–5.93], p = 0.001).Conclusions:Lone hypertension did not increase COVID-19 mortality or in treated patients risk of hospitalization.
Highlights
Based on current evidence, it is not clear whether lone hypertension increases the risk for severe illness from COVID-19, or if increased risk is mainly associated with age, obesity and diabetes
After adjusting for age, sex, history of myocardial infarction (MI), type-2 diabetes, and obesity, none of six JNC8 groups showed any significant difference in all-cause mortality
Age was associated with an increased risk of 30-days all-cause mortality (OR = 1.09, 95%CI [1.07–1.12], p < 0.001), obesity (OR = 7.18, 95% CI [4.18–12.44], p < 0.001), diabetes, and history of MI (OR = 2.68, 95% CI [1.67–4.31], p < 0.001)
Summary
Evidence suggests that older patients and patients with comorbidities such as obesity, diabetes or cardiovascular diseases may have a more severe course of COVID-19 [3]. The presence of hypertension has been associated with longer hospital stays, and intubation [5, 7] It is still under investigation whether arterial hypertension per se is a risk factor for a more severe course of COVID-19 disease and whether control of hypertension mitigates this risk compared to uncontrolled hypertension. It is not clear whether lone hypertension increases the risk for severe illness from COVID-19, or if increased risk is mainly associated with age, obesity and diabetes. The objective of the study was to evaluate whether lone hypertension is associated with increase mortality or a more severe course of COVID-19, and if treatment and control of hypertension mitigates this risk
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