Invisible invaders: range expansion of feral Neocaridina davidi offers new opportunities for generalist intracellular parasites

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The release of ornamental pets and associated pathogens outside their native range might directly or indirectly impact the recipient community. In temperate regions, e.g., central Europe, feral freshwater species of tropical and sub-tropical origins are mainly constrained to thermally polluted waters and thermal springs. However, species with high environmental plasticity and reproduction rates, such as the shrimp Neocaridina davidi, may adapt to colder water regimes over time. A widening thermal niche may eventually overcome thermal barriers, further expanding the range and enhancing transmission opportunities for host generalist parasites. This study assesses the observed (field observations) and theoretical (species distribution models) range expansion of N. davidi and associated parasites in Europe. We report three newly established N. davidi populations from thermally polluted waters in central Europe (Germany, Hungary, and Slovakia) and provide further evidence of its range expansion into colder environments. Species distribution models predict thermally suitable habitats in the Mediterranean and a foreseeable expansion into Western Europe and the Balkans by 2050. We confirm the presence of the microsporidian parasite Ecytonucleospora hepatopenaei in feral N. davidi populations across Europe and expand the list of microsporidians found in this host from two to four. Furthermore, we provide the first evidence of parasite spillover from/to the invasive crayfish Procambarus clarkii, suggesting that parasite exchange with native biota might be possible. Such possibility, coupled with an ongoing range expansion of N. davidi bolstered by human-mediated introductions and climate change, will likely exacerbate the impact on native biota.