Investigating factors affecting carbon emission in China and the USA: A perspective of stratified heterogeneity

Abstract

Abstract: As world's top two carbon emitters, driver analysis of China and the USA helped the governments to develop policies to cut or slow down carbon emission. Many studies identified the factors affecting carbon emission in China and the USA (emitting more than 40% of the global CO2 emission), however, few studies considered stratified heterogeneity or the interactions of factors. Here, we adopted the modified Geographical Detector tool to investigate the main drivers of carbon emission from the perspective of stratified heterogeneity. The results of this analysis showed that human economic activities in China were the dominant effect of carbon emission changes, while energy intensity contributed toward controlling the carbon emission in China. Furthermore, population growth was the most significant driving force followed by energy intensity toward controlling the carbon emission of the USA. All these factors are mutually enhancing in changing carbon emissions, while oil share with energy intensity and coal share were more significantly enhanced in China's carbon emission than other interactions. The factors of human activities and energy mix posed a more powerful effect when they mutually enhanced each other to change carbon emission compared to other enhancing interactions. This work represents a pilot scheme for a carbon dioxide emission analysis from the categorical stratified heterogeneity based on statistical methods.