Interobserver Reproducibility in Sonographic Measurement of Diameter and Volume of Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma.

Abstract

Background: Active surveillance is recommended as an alternative to immediate surgery for low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC), and determining meaningful changes in diameter and volume on ultrasonography (US) is critical. However, interobserver reproducibility of the sonographic measurement of maximum diameter and volume of PTMC has not been well established. We aimed to determine the reproducibility in the measurement of maximum diameter and volume of PTMC on US. Methods: Consecutive patients who underwent US for pathologically proven PTMC between December 2018 and December 2019 were retrospectively reviewed. Two observers independently performed sonographic measurement of each nodule using standardized measurement methods. Each observer measured maximum transverse, anteroposterior, and longitudinal nodule diameters, and using these, nodule volume was calculated using the ellipsoid formula. Interobserver reproducibility in the measurement of the maximum diameter and volume was assessed using percentage reproducibility coefficient (RC). Z-tests of the intraclass correlation coefficients (ICCs) were used to compare the interobserver reproducibility in subgroups defined according to sonographic characteristics, such as the presence of microcalcification, nodule size, and parenchymal heterogeneity. Results: A total of 197 thyroid nodules from 188 patients were included in the study series. The percentage RCs were 71.8% [95% confidence interval, CI 65.4-79.7%] and 23.7% [CI 21.6-26.3%] for volume and maximum diameter measurements, respectively. There were no significant differences noted in the ICC values according to nodule orientation, presence of calcifications, size, or parenchymal heterogeneity. Conclusion: For PTMC, a difference of up to 24% in the maximum diameter and 72% in the volume may be considered to be within measurement error on US. This value may be used to determine the cutoff for defining meaningful change in the maximum diameter and volume for PTMC during active surveillance.