Retrospective comparison of screening criteria for active surveillance for papillary thyroid microcarcinoma

Can Active Surveillance Management be Developed for Patients With Low-Risk Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma? A Preliminary Investigation in a Chinese Population

Background Thermal ablation (TA) is an established treatment for low-risk unifocal papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) and has been incorporated into several clinical guidelines. However, its clinical indications remain limited and do not fully encompass more advanced tumor stages, multifocal disease, or non-papillary histological subtypes. This review summarizes current evidence regarding the expanded application of TA in thyroid cancers beyond low-risk unifocal PTMC. Methods A comprehensive literature search was conducted in PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science from database inception to May 2025. Eligible studies evaluating ultrasound-guided thermal ablation for papillary thyroid carcinoma beyond low-risk PTMC were identified according to predefined inclusion and exclusion criteria. Titles and abstracts were screened, followed by full-text assessment of potentially relevant articles. Relevant data were subsequently extracted for qualitative synthesis. Results A total of 24 studies involving 1,940 patients with thyroid cancer beyond low-risk unifocal PTMC were included. The available evidence indicates that TA is technically feasible and minimally invasive in selected extended indications, achieving favorable short- to mid-term tumor control. In comparative studies, TA was generally associated with lower complication rates than surgery in appropriately selected patients. However, most included studies were retrospective in design, and long-term oncologic outcomes remain insufficiently reported, particularly for higher-risk pathological subtypes. Conclusions TA may represent a minimally invasive therapeutic option for selected thyroid cancers beyond low-risk unifocal PTMC. Nevertheless, prospective studies with extended follow-up and direct comparative analyses with surgical management are required to better define its long-term oncologic role.

Active surveillance (AS) can be considered as an alternative to immediate surgery in low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) without clinically apparent lymph nodes, gross extrathyroidal extension (ETE), and/or distant metastasis according to American Thyroid Association. However, in the past AS has been controversial, as evidence supporting AS in the management of PTMC was scarce. The most prominent of these controversies included, the limited accuracy and utility of ultrasound (US) in the detection of ETE, malignant lymph node involvement or the advent of novel lymph node malignancy during AS, and disease progression. We summarized publications and indicated: (1) US, performer-dependent, could not accurately diagnose gross ETE or malignant lymph node involvement in PTMC. However, the combination of computed tomography and US provided more accurate diagnostic performance, especially in terms of selection sensitivity. (2) Compared to immediate surgery patients, low-risk PTMC patients had a slightly higher rate of lymph node metastases (LNM), although the overall rate for both groups remained low. (3) Recent advances in the sensitivity and specificity of imaging and incorporation of diagnostic biomarkers have significantly improved confidence in the ability to differentiate indolent vs. aggressive PTMCs. Our paper reviewed current imagings and biomarkers with initial promise to help select AS candidates more safely and effectively. These challenges and prospects are important areas for future research to promote AS in PTMC.

Background/Objectives: MicroRNAs are emerging as valuable diagnostic markers for various diseases, including papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC). However, there is limited research on circulating miRNA expression in papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC). Therefore, we conducted a study to explore whether plasma-derived miRNAs can distinguish PTMC from benign nodules or predict aggressiveness. Methods: A total of 150 patients who underwent thyroidectomy from January 2013 to July 2021 were enrolled in this study. Patients were divided into three groups: benign, low-risk PTMC, and advanced PTMC. Nine patients from each group were selected for microarray analysis for plasma miRNAs. Six miRNAs were selected for comparison of expression levels using TaqMan assay. The ROC curve was utilized to evaluate the diagnostic and aggressiveness value of the miRNAs. Results: From the microarray analysis, miR-455-3p and miR-548ac were identified as miRNAs that can significantly differentiate between benign nodules and PTMC. A combination of six miRNAs (miR-455-3p, miR-548ac., miR-221, miR-222, miR-146a. miR-146b) rather than individual miRNAs had the highest AUC (0.857), sensitivity (0.867), and specificity (0.800) in differentiating benign and PTMC. In microarray analysis, no significant miRNAs were observed to distinguish between low-risk group and aggressive PTMC. However, in the six-miRNA combination, it was possible to distinguish low-risk PTMC from aggressive PTMC with an AUC of 0.763, sensitivity of 0.739, and the specificity of 0.727. Conclusions: A combination of six miRNAs presents the possibility of distinguishing between benign and PTMC and low-risk and aggressive PTMC with an acceptable AUC, sensitivity, and specificity.

Although the outcomes of active surveillance (AS) for low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) are generally excellent, some patients undergo conversion surgery for various reasons, including disease progression. We studied the outcomes of PTMC patients who underwent AS, who underwent conversion surgery after AS, and who underwent immediate surgery. Between 2005 and 2019, 4,635 patients were diagnosed with low-risk cT1aN0M0 PTMC at Kuma Hospital: 2,896 opted for AS (AS group) and 1,739 underwent immediate surgery (Surgery group). In the AS group, 242 patients underwent conversion surgery (Conversion group): 72 owing to disease progression (Conversion-prog group) and 170 for other reasons (Conversion-non-prog group). Of the 1,739 patients in the Surgery group, 1,625 had no high-risk features (Surgery-low-risk group). Locoregional recurrence (LRR) occurred in 9, 1, 1, and 0 patient in the Surgery-low-risk group, the Conversion-prog group, the AS group, and the Conversion-non-prog group, respectively. The LRR rate of the AS group was significantly lower than that of the Surgery-low-risk group (0.1% vs. 0.7% at 10 years, p = 0.006). Additionally, the LRR rate of the Conversion group (0.6% at 10 years, p = 0.741) and that of the Conversion-prog group (3.3% at 10 years, p = 0.103) did not significantly differ from the LRR of the Surgery-low-risk group. As the postoperative prognosis of patients with progressive PTMC who underwent conversion surgery did not significantly differ from that of patients who underwent immediate surgery, we think that AS may have resulted in efficient identification of the small proportion of patients with progressive PTMC that require surgical treatment.

BRAF V600E status may facilitate decision-making on active surveillance of low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinoma

Background: Active surveillance (AS) of papillary thyroid microcarcinomas (PTMC) is emerging as an alternative to immediate surgery. While thermal ablation has also shown promise for low-risk PTMC, it has not been prospectively studied in patients appropriate for AS. This study aimed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of ultrasound (US)-guided radiofrequency ablation (RFA) for tumor control and quality of life (QoL) management in patients with PTMC who favored AS over immediate surgery. Methods: This prospective clinical trial was conducted at a single tertiary referral hospital from 2018 to 2021. Of 227 adult patients aged ≤60 years with low-risk unifocal PTMC favoring AS over immediate surgery, 100 patients underwent RFA for their management. The primary endpoint was the disease progression rate, and secondary endpoints were technical success, volume reduction rate (VRR), complication rates, and QoL. Results: The median age of the study population was 42 years (range, 27-59 years), and 83% (83/100, [CI: 66.1-100]) were female. The median follow-up was 30 months (range, 12-56 months). All 100 patients underwent RFA with technical success. Most of the ablation zones showed continuous volume reduction, and 95.9% (94/98, [CI: 77.5-100.0]) showed complete disappearance at the last follow-up. The median VRR was 100.0% at 1-year follow-up and persisted throughout the last follow-up. The cumulative disease progression rate among 98 patients who underwent at least 1-year follow-up was 3.1% (3/98, [CI: 0.6-9.0]); one patient had lymph node metastasis (treated with surgery), and two patients had new PTMC (1 treated with RFA, 1 ongoing AS). Major complications were not observed. Psychological (baseline vs. last follow-up, 7.3 vs. 8.0, p = 0.002) and social (8.0 vs. 8.7, p = 0.005) QoL scores significantly improved during follow-up without compromising physical QoL (8.6 vs. 8.5, p = 0.99). Conclusions: RFA can be a reasonable strategy for effectively and safely controlling tumors and improving QoL in non-elderly patients with low-risk PTMC appropriate for AS. Clinical Trial registration: This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT03432299.

Nanosecond pulsed electric field (nsPEF) ablation has gradually been applied in clinical practice. However, no studies have reported its application in low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC). The study aimed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of nsPEF ablation for patients with low-risk PTMC. This prospective study (Chinese Clinical Trial Register: ChiCTR-2200064902) included consecutive low-risk patients with PTMC who underwent nsPEF ablation at 6 hospitals in China. Technical feasibility was assessed by recording the technical success of the procedure and therapeutic efficacy at the 1-, 3-, 6-, and 12-month follow-up. Technical success was evaluated using contrast-enhanced ultrasound immediately after ablation, where the target ablation zone exceeded the tumor edge. Therapeutic complications were evaluated. From September 2022 to September 2024, 85 patients (median age, 38 years; interquartile range, 32-47 years; 58 females) with 85 PTMCs were included, all achieving successful nsPEF ablation. At 1-, 3-, 6-, and 12-month follow-up, median tumor volumes were 0.109, 0.054, 0.020, and 0.000 mL, and the associated median volume reduction ratios were -124.0%, -4.8%, 63.5%, and 100%, respectively. At 12 months, 88.0% (66/75) of PTMCs achieved complete disappearance. Fifty-six (65.9%) patients experienced transient thyrotoxicosis. No recurrent tumors, cervical lymph node metastasis, or distant metastasis were observed during follow-up. nsPEF ablation under general anesthesia for low-risk PTMC is effective and safe, with the only major complication being transient thyrotoxicosis in more than 50% of patients, which might be caused by the release of thyroid hormones into the bloodstream because of irreversible electroporation. It appears to offer better absorption of the ablated lesions in the short term, potentially increasing its clinical use. Further short- and long-term study is needed.

Ultrasound-Guided Radiofrequency Ablation of Low-Risk Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma: a Prospective Study

#1403009: Radiofrequency Ablation for Low-Risk Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma: First Reported Cases in the US

Active surveillance (AS) for low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC), which was initiated at Kuma Hospital (Kobe, Japan) in 1993 and Cancer Institute Hospital (Tokyo) in 1995, is now gradually being adopted worldwide, and several prospective studies have described the favorable outcomes of PTMC patients who underwent AS. The most important factor predicting PTMC growth is young age, and PTMC enlargement in young patients may be affected by high serum levels of thyroid-stimulating hormone. This review notes that one patient showed lung metastasis after conversion surgery (CS) following AS, but there are no reports of patients dying of thyroid carcinoma during or after AS. Some PTMCs enlarge or show newly appeared metastatic nodes requiring CS, and findings on the postoperative prognosis and incidence of significant surgical complications (e.g., permanent vocal cord paralysis, hypoparathyroidism) do not differ significantly between patients who underwent CS after AS and those who underwent immediate surgery (IS). IS has been associated with significantly higher incidences of these complications compared to AS as the initial management. Several studies have examined the quality of life (QoL) of patients who underwent AS versus IS, and reported discrepant findings regarding various psychological conditions (including anxiety). Medical costs for AS and IS vary regionally, and in Japan, the 10-year total cost of IS was 4.1 times greater than that of AS in 2017. Taken together, the existing findings demonstrate that AS can be appropriate for the initial management of patients with PTMC.

Background: Active surveillance (AS) is offered as a choice to patients with low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC). This study aimed to identify patient and physician factors associated with the choice of AS. Methods: We conducted a cross-sectional survey of patients with low-risk PTMC who were enrolled in a prospective study comparing outcomes following AS and surgery. Patients completed a questionnaire to assess their prior knowledge of the disease, considerations in the decision-making process, and reasons for choosing the treatment. We also surveyed 19 physician investigators about their disease management preferences. Variables affecting the patients' choice of AS, including patients' characteristics and their decision-making process, were analyzed in a multivariable analysis. Results: The response rate of the patient survey was 72.8% (857/1177). Among the patients who responded to the survey, 554 patients (128 male; mean age 49.4 ± 11.6 years; response rate 73.4%) with low-risk PTMC chose AS (AS group), whereas 303 patients (55 male; 46.6 ± 10.7 years; 71.8%) chose immediate surgery (iOP group). In the AS group, 424 patients (76.5%) used a decision aid, and 144 (47.5%) used it in the iOP group. The choice of AS was associated with the following variables: patient age >50 years (odds ratio 1.713 [confidence interval, CI 1.090-2.690], p = 0.020), primary tumor size ≤5 mm (odds ratio 1.960 [CI 1.137-3.379], p = 0.015), and consulting an endocrinologist (odds ratio 114.960 [CI 48.756-271.057], p < 0.001), and use of a decision aid (odds ratio 2.469 [CI 1.320-4.616], p = 0.005). The proportion of patients who were aware of AS before their initial consultation for treatment decision was higher in the AS group than in the iOP group (64.6% vs. 56.8%). Family members were reported to have influenced the treatment decisions more in the iOP group (p = 0.025), whereas the AS group was more influenced by information from the media (p = 0.017). Physicians' attitudes regarding AS of low-risk PTMC tended to be more favorable among endocrinologists than surgeons and all became more favorable as the study progressed. Conclusions: Emerging evidence suggests that physicians' attitudes and communication tools influence the treatment decision of low-risk PTMC patients. Support is needed for patient-centered decision making. (Clinical trial No: NCT02938702).

BackgroundActive surveillance is an alternative management for patents with low‐risk papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC); however, there is an absence of specific molecular markers that predict its progression. We compared gene expression patterns between PTMC with lateral neck‐node metastasis (N1b) and PTMC‐lacking nodal metastasis (N0).MethodsWe performed oligonucleotide microarray analysis in three PTMCs without cervical lymph‐node metastases (N0), and five PTMCs with lateral neck‐node metastasis (N1b) at initial diagnosis, using an Illumina HumanHT‐12 v4.0 Expression BeadChip. Quantitative real‐time PCR (qPCR) and western blot analysis confirmed microarray data. We performed immunohistochemistry (IHC) to confirm protein overexpression in samples from 20 N0 and 24 N1b PTMC patients who underwent thyroidectomy.ResultsMicroarray analyses identified 52 probes corresponding to 45 genes. Expression of these genes differed significantly between the two PTMC groups. Forty genes were significantly upregulated and five genes were downregulated in N1b PTMC compared to N0. Four genes related to epithelial‐to‐mesenchymal transition (EMT) and stem cell markers, including ALDH1A3, TM4SF1, PROM1, and CAV1 were significantly upregulated in N1b PTMCs. Real‐time qPCR confirmed this expression and western blot analysis confirmed higher expression of ALDH1A3, TM4SF1, PROM1, and CAV1 in N1b than in N0 PTMCs. IHC indicated overexpression of ALDH1A3 and CAV1 in N1b compared to N0 PTMCs.ConclusionsGenes related to EMT and thyroid cancer stem cell‐like properties are upregulated in early extensive lymphatic spread of PTMC.

Due to exponential increases in incidences, low risk papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) has become a clinical and social issue in recent years. An active surveillance (AS) management approach is an alternative to immediate surgery for patients with low risk PTMC. With decreased doubts about the safety and validity due to evidence from a large number of studies, the AS approach has become increasingly popular worldwide. However, Chinese thyroid surgeons still lag behind other countries in their knowledge of clinical practices and research related to AS. To promote the implementation of AS in China, thyroid surgeons should understand the implications, advantages, and disadvantages of management approaches for AS, and should also consider the willingness of Chinese patients, the impact on the medical billing system, and the enthusiasm of doctors. Thus, a management approach for AS based on the Chinese population should be developed to reduce the risk of disease progression and enhance patient adherence. Herein, we summarize the recent research achievements and deficiencies in AS approaches, and describe the initial experiences regarding AS in the Chinese population, in order to assist Chinese thyroid surgeons in preparing for AS management in the era of PTMC precision medicine.

The incidence of papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) has increased over the past decade. The American Thyroid Association (ATA) suggests that these patients may undergo either thyroid lobectomy or active surveillance. It remains unclear whether there exists a subgroup of PTMC patients who may benefit from more aggressive treatment due to increased risk of recurrence. We retrospectively reviewed 357 patients with PTMC who underwent surgery at a single institution from 2004 to 2016. Patients were classified according to 2015 ATA risk stratification for structural disease recurrence. Demographic, oncologic, and clinicopathologic data were compared between groups. Out of 357 patients, 246 were classified as low-risk PTMC, 93 were intermediate-risk, and 18 were high-risk. There were more male patients in the high-risk group (38.9%) than the intermediate- (31.2%) or low-risk groups (15.4%) (p < 0.001). Patients with low-risk microcarcinomas were more likely to have an incidental PTMC when compared to intermediate- or high-risk groups (98[39.8%], 15[16.1%], 1[5.6%], respectively, p < 0.001). Patients with high-risk PTMCs, compared to those with intermediate- and low-risk PTMCs, were more likely to have rising postoperative thyroglobulin levels after total thyroidectomy (6[40.0%], 4[5.1%], 9[5.7%], respectively, p = 0.001) and structural recurrence after lobectomy or total thyroidectomy (3[16.7%], 0[0%], 0[0%], respectively, p < 0.001). The median follow-up time was 17.5 (IQR 3-55) months. Patients with high-risk PTMC have an increased risk of recurrence when compared to low- and intermediate-risk microcarcinomas, whereas intermediate-risk PTMC may behave similarly to low-risk tumors. ATA risk stratification may inform clinical decision making for patients with PTMC.