International Roughness Index prediction model for flexible pavements

Abstract

International Roughness Index (IRI) is a pavement performance indicator which reflects not only the pavement condition but also the ride quality and comfort level of road users. The aim of this paper is to develop an accurate IRI prediction model for flexible pavements using both multiple linear regression analysis and artificial neural networks (ANNs). The models were developed based on the Long-Term Pavement Performance Database. The data were collected for both original and overlaid flexible pavements from the general pavement studies (GPS-1, GPS-2 and GPS-6) and the specific pavement studies (SPS-1, SPS-3 and SPS-5). The final database consisted of 506 sections with 2439 observations. The proposed models (regression and ANNs) predict IRI as a function of pavement age, initial IRI (IRI just after pavement construction), transverse cracks, alligator cracks and standard deviation of the rut depth. The regression model yielded a coefficient of determination (R2) value of 0.57 while the ANNs model resulted in a much higher R2 value of 0.75.