Intelligent Risk Assessment of Ecological Agriculture Projects from a Vision of Low Carbon

Abstract

Ecological agriculture projects have achieved a growing development in the context of low carbon. However, because of the great difference in these issues from traditional types, there exist risks in progression quality and sustainability. To better identify the risk, this paper proposes a novel hybrid approach that integrates the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) with technique for order preference by similarity to an ideal solution (TOPSIS), as well as an improved support vector machine (SVM) based on the brainstorming algorithm (BSO). First, a risk evaluation index framework is developed and elaborated in terms of the natural environment, society, market economy, management, technology, and finance. Then the traditional assessment can be derived from AHP with TOPSIS. In addition, BSO is applied to improve SVM for rapid computation. Finally, a case study is implemented to verify the accuracy of the proposed technique. In this research, based on the low-carbon perspective, artificial intelligence algorithm and risk assessment are introduced into the field of ecological agriculture project management, which is conducive to the rapid and effective evaluation of ecological agriculture project risk. It can improve managers’ risk awareness and risk management ability, reduce investment blindness, and help ecological agriculture projects achieve healthy and sustainable development under the background of low carbon, thus contributing to the development of a low-carbon economy.