Integrated flood risk assessment of river basins: Application in the Dadu river basin, China

Abstract

Flood is the most common worldwide natural disaster with enormous impacts on human society and the ecosystem. Consequently, the research of flood risk assessment and zonation is critical. Its research scope is changeable, wherein the basin-scale research has become more and more important due to the increasing boom of cascade hydropower development in the river basin. The study proposed a basin-wide integrated flood risk assessment method combining index-based evaluation, Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) and Geographic Information System (GIS) technologies, which was implemented in the Dadu River basin, southwestern China to assess and zoning the basin flood risk. In the constructed risk assessment index system, we use extreme rainfall and dam breach to jointly describe the basin flood disaster-inducing factors and select flood control standard and flood routing coefficient as the sub-indicators of basic and specific coping capacity to characterize the flood intervention capacity of hydropower engineering. The results showed that, for the hazard, vulnerability and risk zonation maps with five classified levels, the southern of midstream and downstream of the basin are prone to frequent floods, while higher vulnerability levels mainly concentrate in the downstream but some parts scatter in the medium vulnerability zone. The high and very high risk zones account for 3% of the basin area and mainly concentrate in the southern basin, while 86% of the basin area is assigned as low and very low risk zones. The results of this work quantitatively express the spatial distribution characteristics of basin-wide flood hazard, vulnerability and risk, and provide a reference for practicing an integrated and efficient flood risk management, and disaster prevention and alleviation strategies.