Informational - entropic Analysis of Dynamics of Road Safety Orderliness

Artur I Petrov,Sergey A Evtyukov,Victor I Kolesov,Daria A Petrova

doi:10.1088/1757-899x/582/1/012021

Abstract

The article considers issues of identification of all-Russian and regional (on the example of Kemerovo region) road safety provision (RSP) systems orderliness. Research presents methods of identification of road safety provision system orderliness. The main idea of this methodic is the calculation of relative entropy of formation process of final result of cause-effect chain «Population – The number of vehicles – The number of road accidents – The number of victims – The number of deaths in road accidents» performance. Statistics of road accident rate during 2004…2018 was analyzed for the calculation of relative entropy. The result of research concludes that the level or road safety provision system increases in Russia generally and Kemerovo region specifically. Meanwhile the development of this process in Kemerovo region lags relatively to all-Russian one.

Highlights

Every system is an aggregate of cooperating subsystems
The main idea of this methodic is the calculation of relative entropy of formation process of final result of causeeffect chain «Population – The number of vehicles – The number of road accidents – The number of victims – The number of deaths in road accidents» performance
The result of research concludes that the level or road safety provision system increases in Russia generally and Kemerovo region

Summary

Introduction

Every system is an aggregate of cooperating subsystems (elements of the system). It includes plenty of system connections that usually have nonlinear character. During the system functioning hundreds of different subsystems processes form and develop simultaneously. They make an impact on the final system result. It’s extremely difficult to identify these processes, model them and assess their degree of influence on the system. These actions often don’t answer the question how to effectively manage the system. 2. Formulation of the problem In the context of the current research orderliness is a system property identifying the result of the performance of rules and forbiddances that structure the system and limit its changes. Calculating relative entropy in the relation to processes of road safety formation for specific transport systems (for example, for the Russian Federation and Kemerovo region).

Published under licence by IOP Publishing Ltd

Conclusion