Influence of economic cycles on the development of elements of the industry structure of the food market

Abstract

The article examines the features of the development of the Ukrainian food market from the standpoint of the theory of economic cycles. As an example, we used the dynamics of indicators of production of products of perennial fruit plantations in Ukraine in retrospect and import supplies of fruits. The phases of the economic cycle in terms of the volume of industrial production were identified and characterized. Possible causes of crises have been identified. The modern phase of the development of the fruit market, as a structural element of the food market in Ukraine, has been investigated and identified as a “rise”. A long wave of the development of the horticulture industry was revealed. The reasons for the emergence of the next wave in 2000 were detailed and substantiated. The optimal period for forecasting the fruit market was determined, taking into account the dynamics of the main indicators of the formation of its conjuncture – domestic production and volumes of imports.