Influence of copula approaches on reliability analysis of slope stability using random adaptive finite element limit analysis

Abstract

AbstractRecently, random field copulas have been deployed to characterise the dependent structures of spatially variable soil parameters. This study expands on this concept by implementing finite element limit analysis (FELA) with adaptive meshing alongside the copula approach to perform reliability assessment of a geotechnical problem. A hypothetical slope with drained and undrained soil conditions was used as an example. First, adaptive FELA was carried out on the hypothetical slope. Second, single and multiple dependency soil parameter structures were represented by several selected copulas (Gaussian, Frank and Clayton). Finally, random adaptive FELA was implemented to explore the effects of copula selection on slope stability and reliability analyses. Results show that considerably different slope failure probabilities are produced by different copula approaches, and that failure probabilities reduce for simulating multiple dependency structures. In addition, failure probability exhibits different tendencies between drained and undrained soil conditions as soil parameter cross‐correlations become stronger. Failure probabilities are also different when performing lower and upper bound (UB) random adaptive FELA with each of the selected copulas.