Abstract
Carbon emission reduction is becoming a global issue. Methods of reducing carbon emissions in developing countries have become a hot topic of discussion. Based on the obvious structural transformation in developing countries, this paper discusses the logical mechanisms among industrial structure upgrading, green total factor productivity improvements, and carbon emission reduction. In addition, this paper empirically tests these relationships with provincial data from 2000 to 2017 in China. The conclusions are as follows: (1) industrial structure upgrades have a significant impact on carbon emissions. The industrial structure rationalization remains a noteworthy inhibition on carbon emissions. The industrial structure’s advancement has obvious features of development at the current stage, and its effect on carbon emissions shows an inverted “V” trend, which is initially accelerating but then restraining. (2) Upgrades to industrial structures will decrease carbon emissions by raising green total factor productivity. (3) The rise of green total factor productivity in a certain region will have a relatively obvious inhibitory effect on carbon emissions, but it will exhibit a negative spatial spillover effect on the adjacent areas.
Highlights
In the modern era, as China’s economy has shifted from quantitative growth to quality development, the transformation of the development mode has gradually become a macro path, restricting the high-quality development of China’s economy
Baseline regression results show that, whether it is a pooled regression model, a fixed-effects model, or a random-effects model, industrial structure advancement and rationalization have a significant impact on carbon emissions at the 1% significance level; the effect is in the opposite direction
When carbon emission reduction becomes a global consensus, all countries will regard the facilitation of carbon emission reduction as their emphasis for future development
Summary
As China’s economy has shifted from quantitative growth to quality development, the transformation of the development mode has gradually become a macro path, restricting the high-quality development of China’s economy. At the middle level of industrial development, carbon peaking and carbon neutrality are inseparable from supporting the upgrade of industrial structures. It is of theoretical and practical significance to connect the upgrading of industrial structure with carbon emissions. How green productivity, a pivotal indication of green development, plays its role in the impact of industrial structure upgrades on carbon emissions is worth discussing. This paper’s focus is on the influence mechanism of optimizing industrial structure’s acting on carbon emissions and the effect of green total factor productivity within it. The logical relations among upgrading industrial structures, green total factor productivity, and carbon emissions will be taken. Sustainability 2022, 14, 1009 into account through a unified framework, and the emerging market economy of. China will serve as the object of empirical research in order to provide enlightenment for carbon emission reduction in developing countries
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