Abstract

Abstract. The need for accurate, real-time, reliable, and multi-scale soil water content (SWC) monitoring is critical for a multitude of scientific disciplines trying to understand and predict the Earth's terrestrial energy, water, and nutrient cycles. One promising technique to help meet this demand is fixed and roving cosmic-ray neutron probes (CRNPs). However, the relationship between observed low-energy neutrons and SWC is affected by local soil and vegetation calibration parameters. This effect may be accounted for by a calibration equation based on local soil type and the amount of vegetation. However, determining the calibration parameters for this equation is labor- and time-intensive, thus limiting the full potential of the roving CRNP in large surveys and long transects, or its use in novel environments. In this work, our objective is to develop and test the accuracy of globally available datasets (clay weight percent, soil bulk density, and soil organic carbon) to support the operability of the roving CRNP. Here, we develop a 1 km product of soil lattice water over the continental United States (CONUS) using a database of in situ calibration samples and globally available soil taxonomy and soil texture data. We then test the accuracy of the global dataset in the CONUS using comparisons from 61 in situ samples of clay percent (RMSE = 5.45 wt %, R2 = 0.68), soil bulk density (RMSE = 0.173 g cm−3, R2 = 0.203), and soil organic carbon (RMSE = 1.47 wt %, R2 = 0.175). Next, we conduct an uncertainty analysis of the global soil calibration parameters using a Monte Carlo error propagation analysis (maximum RMSE ∼ 0.035 cm3 cm−3 at a SWC = 0.40 cm3 cm−3). In terms of vegetation, fast-growing crops (i.e., maize and soybeans), grasslands, and forests contribute to the CRNP signal primarily through the water within their biomass and this signal must be accounted for accurate estimation of SWC. We estimated the biomass water signal by using a vegetation index derived from MODIS imagery as a proxy for standing wet biomass (RMSE < 1 kg m−2). Lastly, we make recommendations on the design and validation of future roving CRNP experiments.

Highlights

  • By the year 2050, over 9 billion people are predicted to inhabit the Earth (United Nations, 2015)

  • In order to construct a map of the continental United States (CONUS) lattice water, we investigated whether any significant relationships existed between Global Soil Dataset (GSDE) clay wt % and observed lattice water for each US soil taxonomic group (Table 1)

  • We developed a framework using globally available datasets for estimating four of the five key soil and vegetation parameters needed by the roving cosmic-ray neutron method for estimating soil water content (SWC) in fast-growing vegetation areas such as row crop production in agricultural areas

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Summary

Introduction

By the year 2050, over 9 billion people are predicted to inhabit the Earth (United Nations, 2015). The monumental task of feeding the projected global population will require a near doubling of grain production (FAO, 2009). The majority (∼ 2/3) of water consumption by humans is used for agriculture, where approximately half of all global food production comes from irrigated agriculture (Mekonnen and Hoekstra, 2011). An increase in food demand will put an even greater demand on freshwater resources, an increasing reliance on groundwater (Mekonnen and Hoekstra, 2011). The ability to model and forecast the hydrologic cycle will continue to play a major role in effective water resource management in the coming decades. Most land surface models (LSMs) aimed at characterizing the Published by Copernicus Publications on behalf of the European Geosciences Union

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