Abstract

To date, interpretation of genomic information has focused on single variants conferring disease risk, but most disorders of major public concern have a polygenic architecture. Polygenic risk scores (PRSs) give a single measure of disease liability by summarizing disease risk across hundreds of thousands of genetic variants. They can be calculated in any genome-wide genotype data-source, using a prediction model based on genome-wide summary statistics from external studies. As genome-wide association studies increase in power, the predictive ability for disease risk will also increase. Although PRSs are unlikely ever to be fully diagnostic, they may give valuable medical information for risk stratification, prognosis, or treatment response prediction. Public engagement is therefore becoming important on the potential use and acceptability of PRSs. However, the current public perception of genetics is that it provides “yes/no” answers about the presence/absence of a condition, or the potential for developing a condition, which in not the case for common, complex disorders with polygenic architecture. Meanwhile, unregulated third-party applications are being developed to satisfy consumer demand for information on the impact of lower-risk variants on common diseases that are highly polygenic. Often, applications report results from single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) and disregard effect size, which is highly inappropriate for common, complex disorders where everybody carries risk variants. Tools are therefore needed to communicate our understanding of genetic vulnerability as a continuous trait, where a genetic liability confers risk for disease. Impute.me is one such tool, whose focus is on education and information on common, complex disorders with polygenetic architecture. Its research-focused open-source website allows users to upload consumer genetics data to obtain PRSs, with results reported on a population-level normal distribution. Diseases can only be browsed by International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision (ICD-10) chapter–location or alphabetically, thus prompting the user to consider genetic risk scores in a medical context of relevance to the individual. Here, we present an overview of the implementation of the impute.me site, along with analysis of typical usage patterns, which may advance public perception of genomic risk and precision medicine.

Highlights

  • In clinical genetics, testing for rare strong-effect causal variants is routinely performed in the health-care system to confirm a diagnosis or to evaluate individual risk suspected from anamnestic information (Baig et al, 2016), and in such instances, the use of genome sequencing is expanding (Byrjalsen et al, 2018)

  • The aim is to provide information as broadly as possible to offer a real alternative to the widespread practice of reporting on weak single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) genotypes for any trait, even though that means generation of reports that are below any sensible threshold for clinical usability

  • We found that disease prediction strength, measured as variability explained, corresponded well to theoretical expectations of known SNP heritability (Lee et al, 2017; Li et al, 2017; Wünnemann et al, 2019)

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Summary

Introduction

In clinical genetics, testing for rare strong-effect causal variants is routinely performed in the health-care system to confirm a diagnosis or to evaluate individual risk suspected from anamnestic information (Baig et al, 2016), and in such instances, the use of genome sequencing is expanding (Byrjalsen et al, 2018). Outside of the health-care system, directto-consumer (DTC) genetics expands rapidly, providing the public with access to individual genetic data profiles and to interpretation of common genetic variants derived from genotyping microarrays (Kaye, 2008; Greshake et al, 2014). This is developing as a sprawling industry of consumer services with widely diverging standards, including third-party genome analysis services. Uploaded files are checked and formatted according to procedures that have been developed to handle most types of microarray-based consumer genetics data, including an imputation step These data are further subjected to automated analysis scripts including PRS calculations. We hope that having this as an open and accessible resource for everyone will be of help to the debate on what exactly constitutes clinical usability beyond high-risk pathogenic variants

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