Improving wheat yield estimates using data augmentation models and remotely sensed biophysical indices within deep neural networks in the Guanzhong Plain, PR China

Abstract

Crop yield estimation and prediction constitutes a key issue in agricultural management, particularly under the context of demographic pressure and climate change. Currently, the main challenge in estimating crop yields based on remotely sensed data and data-driven methods is how to cope with small datasets and the limited amount of annotated samples. In order to cope with small datasets and the limited amount of annotated samples and improve the accuracy of winter wheat yield estimation in the Guanzhong Plain, PR China, this study proposed a method of combining generative adversarial networks (GANs) and convolutional neural network (CNN) for comprehensive growth monitoring of winter wheat, in which the remotely sensed leaf area index (LAI), vegetation temperature condition index (VTCI) and meteorological data at four growth stages of winter wheat during 2012–2017 were generated as the inputs of multi-layer convolutional neural networks (CNNs), and GAN was employed to artificially increase the number of training samples. Then, a linear regression model between the simulated comprehensive growth monitoring (I) and the measured yields was established to estimate yields of winter wheat in the Guanzhong Plain pixel by pixel. The final results showed when GAN was used to double the size of the training samples, and the simulation values obtained by CNN based on augmented samples using GAN provided a better training (R2 = 0.95, RMSE = 0.05), validation (R2 = 0.54, RMSE = 0.16) and testing (R2 = 0.50, RMSE = 0.14) performance than that just using the original samples. The achieved best pixel-scale yield estimation accuracy of winter wheat (R2 = 0.50, RMSE = 591.46 kg/ha) in the Guanzhong Plain. These results showed that small samples can be enlarged by GAN, thus, more important features for reflecting the growth conditions and yields of winter wheat from the remotely sensed indices and meteorological indices can be extracted, and indicated that CNN accompanied with GAN could contribute a lot to the comprehensive growth monitoring and yield estimation of winter wheat and data augmentation methods are extremely useful for the application of small samples in deep learning.