Improving vehicle speed estimates using street network centrality

Abstract

ABSTRACTThis paper describes a novel approach to improve prediction models which estimate vehicle speeds and their diurnal variation for road network links in urban street networks using only static map attributes. The presented approach takes into account previously neglected spatial information by integrating network centrality measures for closeness (indicating how central a link is) and betweenness (indicating how important a road link is) into the prediction model. The model is calibrated with a real-world dataset of 100 million individual speed measurements from a fleet of 3500 taxi probe vehicles in Vienna, Austria. Given that centrality can be derived directly from readily available street network data, the experimental results demonstrate that integrating centrality measures considerably improves the predictions without the need for adding a supplementary data source. Improvements for vehicle speed estimates are particularly prevalent on important street network links in the city center as well as rural streets in the periphery.