Improving typhoon predictions by assimilating the retrieval of atmospheric temperature profiles from the FengYun-4A's Geostationary Interferometric Infrared Sounder (GIIRS)

Abstract

The Geostationary Interferometric Infrared Sounder (GIIRS) onboard China's FengYun-4A geostationary satellite provides an unprecedented opportunity to observe the three-dimensional thermodynamic structure of typhoons in the western North Pacific Ocean with high spatiotemporal resolutions. Field campaigns of targeting observation based on the conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation (CNOP) sensitivity were carried out utilizing the GIIRS on FY-4A for five typhoons: Chan-hom, Maysak, and Higos in 2020 and typhoons Chanthu and Conson in 2021 and collected temporally continuous observations for the thermodynamic structure of typhoons and their environments.This study investigated the impact of atmospheric temperature profile retrieved from the collected GIIRS radiance on typhoon analysis and prediction in a regional Hurricane WRF (HWRF) model using the ensemble-variational data assimilation scheme. Despite the case dependence, the assimilation of the additional satellite retrieval generally improves the typhoon track forecasts relative to those with simply the operational observations assimilated. The improvement mainly occurs beyond two days and the average reduction of track errors reaches up to 100 km at about day 3. Diagnostics show that the improvement of initial temperature condition influences the geopotential height and wind fields roughly through the hydrostatic relationship. The assimilation of temperature retrieval also shows some potential in improving wind forecasts in the near-coast areas at upper and lower levels and the precipitation forecasts on land.