Abstract

PurposeThe BODS index has been confirmed to have predictive properties similar to the original BODE index for mortality in COPD. We evaluated the agreement between the BODS index and the BODE and explored with an updated BODS how this agreement could be improved and its ability to correctly discriminate individual participants’ mortality in a prospective cohort study.Patients and MethodsWe included prospectively a consecutive sample of 137 patients with COPD, between 40 and 80 years, during 2014 and followed for 5 years (2014–2019) in the Pneumology section of a public university hospital in Spain. They participated in the baseline data collection, which included BODE- and BODS-related measurements and prognostic factors, and were followed up for 5-year mortality. We used Bland–Altman plots and the kappa coefficient to analyze the agreement between both the original and updated BODS and the BODE index, and we used the areas under ROC curves (AUC) to compare their discriminative abilities for 5-year all-cause mortality.ResultsThe original BODS index scores and quartiles had weak agreement with the BODE index, and our updated BODS strengthened these agreements (a small, statistically nonsignificant mean bias [<0.03] with LoAs<2 points, and a substantial Kappa coefficient [k =0.63; IC 95%: 0.53–0.73]). In addition, the updated BODS index scores had better summarized ability than the BODS index in discriminating participants’ mortality during the following 5 years (AUC: 0.768 versus 0.736; p=0.04).ConclusionThe updated BODS index scores and quartiles may provide prognostic information similar to that provided by the BODE index in COPD. Future research should focus on index improvement through external validation, as well as the assessment of safety and effectiveness in clinical practice by means of impact studies.

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