Abstract

To investigate whether children with concurrent wasting and stunting require therapeutic feeding and to better understand whether multiple diagnostic criteria are needed to identify children with a high risk of death and in need of treatment. Community-based cohort study, following 5751 children through time. Each child was visited up to four times at 6-month intervals. Anthropometric measurements were taken at each visit. Survival was monitored using a demographic surveillance system operating in the study villages. Niakhar, a rural area of the Fatick region of central Senegal.ParticipantsChildren aged 6-59 months living in thirty villages in the study area. Weight-for-age Z-score (WAZ) and mid-upper arm circumference (MUAC) were independently associated with near-term mortality. The lowest WAZ threshold that, in combination with MUAC, detected all deaths associated with severe wasting or concurrent wasting and stunting was WAZ <-2·8. Performance for detecting deaths was best when only WAZ and MUAC were used. Additional criteria did not improve performance. Risk ratios for near-term death in children identified using WAZ and MUAC suggest that children identified by WAZ <-2·8 but with MUAC≥115 mm may require lower-intensity treatment than children identified using MUAC <115 mm. A combination of MUAC and WAZ detected all near-term deaths associated with severe anthropometric deficits including concurrent wasting and stunting. Therapeutic feeding programmes may achieve higher impact if WAZ and MUAC admission criteria are used.

Highlights

  • Using anthropometry to predict mortality The possibility of identifying all, or most, children with severe anthropometric deficits who are likely to die within 6 months of measurement using a combination of anthropometric case definitions was explored using fourdimensional Venn diagrams with sets defined by Weight-for-age Z-score (WAZ), weight-for-height Z-score (WHZ), mid-upper arm circumference (MUAC) and wasting and stunting (WaSt) case definitions[27]

  • HAZ, WAZ, WHZ and MUAC were all negatively associated with death within 6 months of measurement

  • WAZ and MUAC were independently associated with death within 6 months of measurement

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Summary

Methods

Data sources The analysis presented here is based on a data set collected in 1983 and 1984 in Niakhar, a rural area of the Fatick region of central Senegal. Association between anthropometry and mortality Bivariate associations between different anthropometric variables (i.e. HAZ, WAZ, WHZ and MUAC) and death within 6 months of measurement were examined by. Using anthropometry to predict mortality The possibility of identifying all, or most, children with severe anthropometric deficits who are likely to die within 6 months of measurement using a combination of anthropometric case definitions was explored using fourdimensional Venn diagrams with sets defined by WAZ, WHZ, MUAC and WaSt case definitions[27]. Risk ratios for death within 6 months of measurement in the populations selected using different combinations of MUAC and WAZ case definitions identified by the Venn diagram analysis were estimated. Severe underweight (WAZ < − 3·0) and severely low MUAC (MUAC < 115 mm) were independently associated with death within 6 months of measurement

Results
Discussion
Limitations
New York
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