Improvement of the Reliability of Urban Park Location Results Through the Use of Fuzzy Logic Theory

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Green areas, thanks to their relatively unified natural systems, play several key roles. They contribute to the proper functioning and sustainable development of cities and also determine the quality of life for their inhabitants. As a result, urban planners and policy-makers frequently aim to maximize the benefits of green spaces by creating various programs and strategies focused on green infrastructure development, such as the Green City initiative. One of the objectives of this program is to create new urban parks. This research focuses on developing a new method for selecting sites for urban parks, taking into account factors related to the environment, accessibility, and human activity. The research was carried out for the area of Ciechanów city. To make the city areas more attractive to residents, the authorities aim to increase green spaces and also revitalize the existing greenery. The combination of the Fuzzy AHP method and fuzzy set theory (selecting appropriate fuzzy membership for each factor), along with the use of large and diverse geospatial datasets, minimized subjectivity in prioritizing criteria and allowed for a fully automated analysis process. Among the factors analyzed, land use emerged as the most significant, followed by the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) and proximity to surface water. The results indicated that 16% of the area was deemed highly suitable for urban park development, while 15% was considered unsuitable. One-at-a-time (OAT) sensitivity analysis, based on changes in the weight of the land-use factor, revealed that a 75% reduction in weight resulted in a nearly 57.2% decrease in unsuitable areas, while a 75% increase in weight led to a 40% expansion of the most suitable locations. The potential park locations were compared with a heat map of urban activity in the city. The developed method contributes to the discourse on the transparency of location decisions and the validity of the criteria used, to promote sustainable urban development that provides residents with access to active recreation.