Abstract

In recent years, time series land cover products have been developed rapidly. However, the traditional classification strategy rarely considers time continuity and spatial consistency, which leads to the existence of unreasonable changes among the multi-period products. In order to solve the existing problems, this paper proposes a matrix decomposition model and an optimized hidden Markov model (HMM) to improve the consistency of the time series land cover maps. It also compares the results with the spatio-temporal window filtering model. The spatial weight information is introduced into the singular value decomposition (SVD) model, and the regression model is constructed by combining the eigenvalues and eigenvectors of the image to predict the unreasonable variable pixels and complete the construction of the matrix decomposition model. To solve the two problems of reliance on expert experience and lack of spatial relationships, this paper optimizes the model and proposes the HMM Land Cover Transition (HMM_LCT) model. The overall accuracy of the matrix decomposition model and the HMM_LCT model is 90.74% and 89.87%, respectively. It is found that the matrix decomposition model has a better effect on consistency adjustment than the HMM_LCT model. The matrix decomposition model can also adjust the land cover trajectory to better express the changing trend of surface objects. After consistent adjustment by the matrix decomposition model, the cumulative proportion of the first 15 types of land cover trajectories reached 99.47%, of which 83.01% were stable land classes that had not changed for three years.

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