Improved mapping of coastal salt marsh habitat change at Barnegat Bay (NJ, USA) using object-based image analysis of high-resolution aerial imagery

Abstract

Tidal wetlands are valued for the ecosystem services they provide yet are vulnerable to loss due to anthropogenic disturbances such as land conversion, hydrologic modifications, and the impacts of climate change, especially accelerating rates of sea level rise. To effectively manage tidal wetlands in face of multiple stressors, accurate studies of wetland extent and trends based on high-resolution imagery are needed. We provide salt marsh delineations for Barnegat Bay, New Jersey, by means of object-based image analysis of high-resolution aerial imagery and digital elevation models. We performed trends analyses of salt marsh extent from 1995 to 2015 and estimated drivers of marsh area change. We found that in 1995, 8830 ± 390 ha were covered with marsh vegetation, while in 2015 only 8180 ± 380 ha of salt marsh habitat remained. The resulting net loss rate of 0.37% yr−1 is equivalent to historic loss rates since the 1970s, indicating that despite regionally accelerating relative sea level rise and purported eutrophication, salt marsh loss rates at Barnegat Bay remain steady. The main drivers of salt marsh loss are excavations for mosquito control (409 ha), edge erosion (303 ha) and ponding (240 ha). Upland migration of salt marsh did not completely mitigate these losses but accounted for a gain of 147 ha of tidal marsh habitat. The methodology presented herein yielded accurate salt marsh delineations (>90%) and trend detection (85%), outperforming low-resolution wetland delineations used in coastal management. This study demonstrates the suitability of high-resolution imagery for the detection of open water features. For the purposes of salt marsh change detection and the identification of change drivers, management and conservation agencies should make use of high-resolution imagery whenever feasible.