Implications of 5G rollout on post-earthquake functionality of regional telecommunication infrastructure

Abstract

Telecommunication infrastructure (TI) is becoming increasingly vital in modern society, where information exchange is needed in almost all aspects of the built environment, business operations, and people's daily lives. The ongoing 5G rollout will lead to a paradigm shift in regional TI deployment landscape, with increased seismic hazard exposure particularly due to the densely deployed small cells. As TI is known to be vulnerable to seismic hazard impacts yet necessary for post-earthquake emergency response, this study carries out a pioneering effort in quantifying the post-earthquake TI failures and functionality to better support risk mitigation decision-making. We propose a novel seismic risk assessment framework for regional 5G TI, by holistically integrating regional seismic hazard analysis, infrastructure seismic exposure data, electric power infrastructure seismic fragility modeling and network connectivity analysis, as well as wireless TI functionality modeling. The proposed framework is evaluated based on a hypothetical regional infrastructure testbed located in Memphis, Tennessee, subjected to several earthquake scenarios. From a reference heterogeneous 5G TI deployment scenario, the results indicate that significant performance degradation of 5G TI is expected especially after major earthquake events. Enabled by the proposed framework, we further compared the efficacy of several risk mitigation strategies and pertinent implications are provided.