Abstract
Abstract Market simulation studies suggest that withdrawing all RARE II roadless areas could raise U.S. lumber prices by about 4 percent and reduce domestic lumber consumption by 3 percent by the year 2000. Total annual wholesale expenditures on lumber and plywood might rise by $110 million. Price and consumption effects at the consumer level would be moderated by a 19-percent increase in lumber imports from Canada. Reductions in domestic wood products output would be concentrated in the Douglas-fir and the Rocky Mountain regions, with 17- and 28-percent declines in lumber output, respectively. Southern lumber output would increase by 1 percent. If Canadian lumber imports were restricted to a maximum of 13.25 billion board feet, lumber price and consumption effects might double by 2000 with only modest reductions in the regional impacts.
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