Abstract
This study focuses on container shipping in Myanmar, which is expected to grow manifold in the near future, given the country’s rapid economic growth rates. This study simulates the impact of Myanmar’s logistics policies on container shipping. These initiatives include the improvement of the East–West Corridor of the Greater Mekong Subregion and the development of the Southern Corridor and Dawei port. The global logistics intermodal network simulation model including both maritime shipping and land transport, is applied to the land-based southeast Asia (ASEAN) region. The estimated results obtained for several different scenarios are crosschecked and compared with the available information on observed flows. Based on the simulation results, the authors conclude that policies that reduce cross-border barriers and improve service levels in Dawei port would result in Thailand using Myanmar’s ports for their cargo as well.
Highlights
In recent years, with the growth of the world economy, globalization, and the subsequent expansion of trade, the importance of international maritime container transport is increasing
Whereas developed countries remain the nucleus of global trade, emerging and developing countries are rapidly increasing their participation in international trade, which is simultaneously a reason and a result of the remarkable economic growth achieved by these countries
The global logistics intermodal network simulation (GLINS) model used in this study is based on the model developed by Shibasaki [2,12,13] and applied in Shibasaki et al [37]
Summary
With the growth of the world economy, globalization, and the subsequent expansion of trade, the importance of international maritime container transport is increasing. Significant growth of investment in Myanmar’s logistics infrastructure is required and expected in the future In this context, for ensuring efficient use of limited resources to improve the national economy, it is significant to propose the best scenario based on quantitative policy simulations on logistics infrastructure. Formulating a sustainable infrastructure policy is currently important, from an economic point of view and from the environmental point of view. In this respect, the intermodal simulations in this study will contribute to a quantitative discussion on the environmental impact of different modes of transport, based on their characteristics.
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