Abstract
The objective of this paper is to study the relative impact of the range of component assumptions namely; fertility mortality and immigration on the projected total population and age structure using Canadian population projections from 1993 to 2041. The effect of the high or low assumptions of each component on the variability in projected population size and age structure is measured as the deviation from the medium scenario while controlling for the effect of the other two components. Two factors are found to have significant effect on the variation of the projected total population: the range of the component assumption and the pace at which the assumption reaches its horizon value. Each component has its own unique effect on each age group. (EXCERPT) (SUMMARY IN FRE)
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