Abstract

Understanding seed characteristics, germination, and seedling establishment patterns is essential for formulating effective management strategies to control invasive species. Glossy buckthorn (Frangula alnus) is a shrub or small tree from Eurasia that has become invasive in North America, and which has negative impacts on plant communities and ecosystems. In this study, we analyzed the germination response of glossy buckthorn seeds to different temperatures (12, 14, 16, 18, 20, 24, and 28 °C), various stratification lengths (4 to 20 weeks), and scarification conditions to measure the impact on breaking seed dormancy, and the effect of light in triggering germination. Analysis using distinct time-to-event approaches, including the Kaplan–Meier estimator and Cox proportional hazard model, was employed to interpret germination data. Glossy buckthorn seeds exhibited physiological dormancy and required cold stratification to germinate. At 12 °C, only 14% of the seeds could germinate. At warmer temperatures, germination rates increased, reaching a peak of 70% at 20 °C. At 24 °C and 28 °C, germination declined, and seeds were probably induced into secondary dormancy. Scarified seeds had a higher probability of germination than non-scarified ones, even at the lowest temperatures. Darkness had a negative impact on germination at all tested temperatures. This study significantly advances our understanding of how temperature, light, stratification, and scarification impact glossy buckthorn seeds, elucidating the species’ seasonal germination patterns in North America. The results emphasize that glossy buckthorn utilizes seed banks as a primary strategy for invading and establishing in new habitats. The ungerminated seeds form persistent seed banks, ensuring F. alnus’ survival and bolstering its chances of successful establishment and invasion. As climate change drives temperature increases, it may affect seeds in the soil, altering stratification periods and consequently shifting the timing of germination.

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