Constructing and Validating Estimation Models for Individual-Tree Aboveground Biomass of Salix suchowensis in China

Abstract

Biomass serves as a crucial indicator of plant productivity, and the development of biomass models has become an efficient way for estimating tree biomass production rapidly and accurately. This study aimed to develop a rapid and accurate model to estimate the individual aboveground biomass of Salix suchowensis. Growth parameters, including plant height (PH), ground diameter (GD), number of first branches (NFB), number of second branches (NSB) and aboveground fresh biomass weight (FW), were measured from 892 destructive sample trees. Correlation analysis indicated that GD had higher positive correlations with FW than PH, NFB and NSB. According to the biological features and field observations of S. suchowensis, the samples were classified into three categories: single-stemmed type, first-branched type and second-branched type. Based on the field measurement data, regression models were constructed separately between FW and each growth trait (PH, GD, NFB and NSB) using linear and nonlinear regression functions (linear, exponential and power). Then, multiple power regression and multiple linear regression were conducted to estimate the fresh biomass of three types of S. suchowensis. For the single-stemmed plant type, model M1 with GD as the single parameter had the highest adj R2, outperforming the other models. Among the 16 constructed biomass-estimating equations for the first-branched plant type, model M32 FW = 0.010371 × PH1.15862 × GD1.250581 × NFB0.190707 was found to have the best fit, with the highest coefficient of determination (adj R2 = 0.6627) and lowest Akaike Information Criterion (AIC = 5997.3081). When it comes to the second-branched plant type, the best-fitting equation was proved to be the multiple power model M43 with PH, GD, NFB and NSB as parameters, which had the highest adj R2 value and best-fitting effect. The stability and reliability of the models were confirmed by the F-test, repeated k-fold cross-validation and paired-sample t-tests. The models developed in this study could provide efficient tools for accurately estimating the total aboveground biomass for S. suchowensis at individual tree levels. The results of this study could also be useful for optimizing the economic productivity of shrub willow plantations.