Impact of assay stability on the false negative and false positive rates in quality control

Abstract

BackgroundThe dynamic Precision QC (PQC) model can be used to evaluate the performance of quality control (QC) monitoring systems. The model depends on inputs that describe the intrinsic shift behavior (i.e., stability) of an assay. The output of the model is a trade-off curve that shows the relationship between false negative (FN) and false positive (FP) risk events. The relationship between the inputs and outputs of this model has not yet been explored. MethodsWe used Monte Carlo simulation to generate trade-off curves using the PQC. We varied the input parameters that determine assay stability (shift probability and shift size distribution) and studied the impact of these inputs on the output (i.e., the trade-off curve relating FN risk to FP risk). ResultsFN risk is sensitive to the shift probability and the width of the control limits. FN risk is sensitive to the shape of the shift size distribution when the standard deviation (SD) of the shift size distribution is relatively narrow (i.e., SD < 2) but is less sensitive to the width of the shift size distribution when the SD is relatively large (i.e., SD > 2). ConclusionsPractical use of the PQC model may require the estimation of the shift probability and shift size distribution.