Abstract

Air humidity is a key meteorological factor in regulating visibility changes and haze episodes. Based on multi-year historical data of PM2.5 mass concentration, visibility, relative humidity(RH), and specific humidity(q) during winter in Tianjin, the impact of air humidity on PM2.5 mass concentration and visibility was investigated. Between 2015 and 2020, the PM2.5 mass concentration showed an overall decline of 28.0%. The frequency of visibility above 10 km significantly increased between 2015 and 2018, indicating an improvement in visibility during this period. However, the visibility deteriorated again in the winter of 2019 and 2020, with a decreased frequency of visibility above 10 km. Specifically, the mean RH in January and February in 2020 of Tianjin reached 63% and 67%, respectively, which were higher than the historical 30-year average for the same period. The frequency of extremely low visibility(lower than 2 km) rebounded to a level equivalent to that during the winter of 2016. The enhanced air humidity visually obscured the reduction effect of PM2.5. For Tianjin, the external sources of water vapor are southwestern and eastern transport. Particularly, water vapor transported from eastern Bohai Bay(59%) is significantly greater than that from southwestern direction(25%). However, the eastern air mass is generally clean, hence, although the condensed water may increase the PM2.5 mass concentration in the humid air, the eastern air mass affects visibility to a greater extent. On the other hand, the haze episodes during winter frequently occurred when the southwestern wind dominated and specific humidity was greater than 2.0 g·kg-1, with a frequency of 83.6%. In a short period of time, the variation of specific humidity is less significant than RH, therefore, the relationship between specific humidity and PM2.5 mass concentration or air quality can be utilized to predict the occurrence of haze episodes and pollution during winter. When the average RH is higher than 80% or the mean specific humidity is greater than 3.0 g·kg-1, the frequency of PM2.5 mass concentration greater than 75 μg·m-3 is 78% and 80%, respectively. For the air quality forecast during winter, weather conditions with specific humidity greater than 3.0 g·kg-1 should be carefully monitored.

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