Imitation modeling as a forecast of transport flows self-organization

Abstract

The problem of reorganizing the road traffic at the time of repair roads is always worthwhile, since the roads are constantly becoming unusable and there is a need to maintain them in proper condition. Frequent repairs are caused by an increase in the number of cars on the roads, as the road surface wears out faster because of this. During repair, the entire repair section often overlaps, and due to the redirection of traffic flows, the load on the adjacent sections changes. This paper analyzes the method of predicting the traffic situation, in which the load on the road network increases due to changing traffic conditions. The application of the simulation method can significantly simplify the task of predicting the behavior of drivers in traffic, as well as help to develop in advance measures to prevent congestion and accidents.