Abstract

Introduction. Hygienic analysis of the factors, causes, scales and ways to reduce losses due to the impact of the environment on the population’s health is an important contribution to the justification for actions aimed at achieving the highest national priority - preserving the population, ensuring sustainable population gain and increasing life expectancy. Materials and methods. Methods of systemic, classical statistical and probabilistic analysis, elements of artificial intelligence, neural networks, fuzzy sets, forecasting and optimization are applied. Sampling size includes all regions of the Russian Federation for 10 years, 1 billion units of information. Results. The presence of insufficiently declining levels of risk-associated morbidity and mortality of the population with regional differentiation was shown. Priority was given to key manageable risk factors (air and drinking water). Scientific and methodological tools have been developed to improve the reliability of hygienic assessments, examinations, studies, and forecasts. The effectiveness of the activity of the service to prevent the loss of public health is shown. Limitations. The limitations of the study are limited to the possibilities of using the selected research methods and the presence of uncertainties in obtaining the characteristics of the objects of study. Conclusion. The analysis has shown the modern period to be characterized by the active digitalization of nearly all fields of scientific hygienic developments and their application. The role of scientific forecasting and the development of methods for the prevention of risk-associated health losses is significantly increasing to achieve a national priority - increasing the life expectancy of the population in Russian Federation.

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