Abstract

A systematic increase in the occurrence of flood events has been noted in rivers worldwide. However, our understanding remains unclear of how the flood level is affected by the change in channel discharge capacity. Therefore, the reduction of channel discharge capacity was quantified in the Middle Yangtze River (MYR) based on extensive measured data. It is confirmed that the variation in channel discharge capacity is a superposition result of channel-morphology and channel-resistance changes, as well as the change in local base-level at the outlet. Then a series of numerical simulations were carried out to quantitatively identify the contribution of each factor to the reduction of channel discharge capacity in the MYR for the years of 2004 and 2020. Simulated results reveal that channel degradation increased the flow passage area, helping the channel to convey floods, with the effect being weakened along the reach; however, the decline in flood level under the same discharge was not observed, which was primarily attributed to the increases in channel resistance and local base-level at the outlet. These two factors accounted for 16–91 % and 9–84 % of the total impact at four hydrometric stations in the MYR. It should be noted that the dominant factor to influence the discharge capacity varied greatly at different stations, which depended on the degree of bed-material coarsening, the distance from the confluence of lakes, etc. At the stations immediately downstream of the dam, the contribution of the increased movable bed roughness usually played a more essential role; while at the stations close to the outlet with the confluence of large lakes, the increase in local base-level became the main factor that accounted for the rise of high-flood levels under the specified large discharge.

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