Hunter observations as an index of moose Alces alces population parameters

Abstract

The accuracy of hunter observations (moose seen per hunter day) as a source for various population parameters in moose Alces alces L was evaluated. We found an overall positive correlation between density and observation index. The strength of the relationship was similar in all of the three counties studied. The observation index levelled off with increasing density (>1.0 moose/km2). Sightability of moose differed significantly among two of the three counties studied which makes comparisons between the regions difficult. However, adjusting the regional observation index by independent estimates of population size enables comparisons over larger areas. We found a probability of 0.81 that a change in observation index also reflects the direction of a change in population size. The reproductive rate calculated from hunter observations (Σcalves)/(Σfemales) was correlated with the observed mean recorded reproductive rate among radio‐collared moose in a county. Furthermore, moose reproduction as estimated from hunter observations was positively correlated among counties in northern Sweden indicating large‐scale synchrony. Our findings indicate that hunter observations of moose reflect moose population size and reproductive rate reasonably well, and can be used to monitor population fluctuations. If calibrated, one may use observation indices for estimates of population size in local moose management as an alternative or supplement to more costly monitoring methods. If not calibrated, observational data may be misleading if they are used as a density indicator.