HOW MIGHT CLIMATE CHANGE AFFECT MICROECONOMIC WELLBEING IN CENTRAL ASIA

Umar Burkhanov,Feruza Saburova

doi:10.12955/cbup.v5.905

Umar Burkhanov, Feruza Saburova

Open Access

https://doi.org/10.12955/cbup.v5.905

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Abstract

Climate change may pose serious challenges to the economies of Central Asian countries, but in-depth studies on a national level are lacking. The paper is aimed to contribute filling this gap and devoted to assessing the economic impacts of climate change in selected areas of Central Asia. The methods of the desk study and documental analysis are used to summarize the adverse effects of climate change in rural livelihoods. Moreover, the preliminary results of the survey conducted in selected regions of Fergana valley within MikroKlima project used as a corresponding data for economic impact analysis on a household level. The results reveal that the effects of unfavorable weather conditions uneven for short and long term, and across Central Asia. Moreover, the most potential damage from climate change will affect the rural population, and there is also a high positive correlation between water shortage, increased aridity, and poverty, aggravated by climate change.

Highlights

Central Asia (CA) is a sub-region of Asia
The results of the study show that there is an increase of shortage of water resources and decline of water condition, the likelihood of appearance of critical and extreme climate events, such as dehydration, extremely high or low temperatures
The results indicate that the chance of appearance of social disorder and pressure connected with Climatic Change (CC) and adverse effects on the current environment and a warning to biodiversity continues to increase

Summary

Introduction

The sub-region covers about 400 million sqr km which constitute of the five former Soviet republics: Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Turkmenistan, Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan. The new World Bank classification placed the five Soviet republics among the countries with uneven income levels. The World Bank went ahead to classify Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan in the upper-middle-income countries and Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan in the lower middle-income countries. The agriculture sector in these countries generates export revenues which are used in the development of their economies. These countries face complex environmental challenges, in particular in the areas of food security, healthcare, access to water and energy which made them be the most vulnerable regions in the world (Bucknall et al, 2003; Glantz, 2005).

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