Abstract
Water resources are reliable guarantees for high quality development of agriculture in the North China Plain. Improving agricultural water use efficiency is one of the essential ways to solve agricultural water resources shortage. This study measured agricultural water use efficiency (AWUE) using a stochastic frontier analysis (SFA) model and estimated agricultural water-saving potential (AWP) for 74 prefecture-level cities in the North China Plain. The main factors that influenced AWUE were further identified by developing spatial econometric models. The results showed that: (1) From 2000 to 2020, the AWUE of the study area ranged from 0.701 to 0.755 and first rose then fell, and then leveled off. (2) Spatially, the best AWUE was in the central part, followed by the north, and the worst was in the south, and nearly 65% of prefectural cities had annual average AWUE below 0.8. (3) Significant gaps in AWUE and AWP were observed in different regions. Shijiazhuang, Anyang, Hebi and Xinxiang should be considered as key targets to improve AWUE. (4) The effective irrigation degree, per sown area annual precipitation, and annual average temperature had positive effect on AWUE. Increasing the corn sowing area appropriately and reducing the input of per sown area machinery power could also improve AWUE. Therefore, adopting deep plowing measures, developing semi-arid agriculture, and advancing water-saving irrigation technology were feasible ways to improve AWUE and contribute to sustainable agriculture in the North China Plain. These findings can provide a reference for the formulation of high-water efficiency agricultural management strategies in other similar major grain-producing areas.
Published Version
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