Abstract
Using a microsimulation model named Integrated Analytical Model for Household Simulation (INAHSIM), the author conducted a household projection in Japan for the period of 2010—2050. INAHSIM-II specifically means that the initial population is created using the INAHSIM model itself. The model produces outputs such as (a) the number of the elderly according to dependency and/or living situations, (b) the relative parents/children ratio taking into account the number of brothers and sisters, and (c) a 1-year transition matrix by household type. As an application of the model, a projection of health and long-term care expenditures is made for the years 2010—2050 in Japan.
Published Version
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