Abstract

Santa Ana winds (SAWs) are associated with anomalous temperatures in coastal Southern California (SoCal). As dry air flows over SoCal’s coastal ranges on its way from the elevated Great Basin down to sea level, all SAWs warm adiabatically. Many but not all SAWs produce coastal heat events. The strongest regionally averaged SAWs tend to be cold. In fact, some of the hottest and coldest observed temperatures in coastal SoCal are linked to SAWs. We show that hot and cold SAWs are produced by distinct synoptic dynamics. High-amplitude anticyclonic flow around a blocking high pressure aloft anchored at the California coast produces hot SAWs. Cold SAWs result from anticyclonic Rossby wave breaking over the northwestern U.S. Hot SAWs are preceded by warming in the Great Basin and dry conditions across the Southwestern U.S. Precipitation over the Southwest, including SoCal, and snow accumulation in the Great Basin usually precede cold SAWs. Both SAW flavors, but especially the hot SAWs, yield low relative humidity at the coast. Although cold SAWs tend to be associated with the strongest winds, hot SAWs tend to last longer and preferentially favor wildfire growth. Historically, out of large (> 100 acres) SAW-spread wildfires, 90% were associated with hot SAWs, accounting for 95% of burned area. As health impacts of SAW-driven coastal fall, winter and spring heat waves and impacts of smoke from wildfires have been recently identified, our results have implications for designing early warning systems. The long-term warming trend in coastal temperatures associated with SAWs is focused on January–March, when hot and cold SAW frequency and temperature intensity have been increasing and decreasing, respectively, over our 71-year record.

Highlights

  • The Santa Ana winds (SAWs) of Southern California (SoCal) are notorious for spreading catastrophic wildfires (Moritz et al 2010) and influencing air quality (AguileraMerced CA, USA 4 Lamont Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, Palisades NY, USA 5 U.S National Weather Service, San Diego CA, USA 6 School of Public Health, University of California San Diego, La Jolla CA, USA et al 2020)

  • The Great Basin—a high inland desert at an elevation of > 1200 m (Fig. 1)—is the source region for air masses implicated in SAW, that are driven by a regional pressure gradient force (PGF) between the Great Basin and offshore of California (Hughes and Hall 2010; Abatzoglou et al 2013)

  • Since humidity data at the desired 3 km resolution is not readily available from observations, we trained LOCA with the relative humidity field simulated by the WRF model (Skamarock et al 2008), resulting in a hybrid statistical–dynamical downscaling scheme covering the state of California

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Summary

Introduction

The Santa Ana winds (SAWs) of Southern California (SoCal) are notorious for spreading catastrophic wildfires (Moritz et al 2010) and influencing air quality It is timely to understand the past, current, and future behavior of Santa Ana winds as well as the compound impacts they generate via wildfires (Small 1995; Westerling et al 2004; Moritz et al 2010; Rolinski et al 2016; Kolden and Abatzoglou 2018), air quality (Delfino et al 2009; Leibel et al 2019; Aguilera et al 2020a, b), and temperature extremes (Schwarz et al 2020) on coastal SoCal—a marine-influenced, densely populated region where public health is acutely impacted by heat (Guirguis et al 2014, 2018) and wildfire smoke (Aguilera 2021a; b). Our goal here is to understand and describe hot and cold flavors of SAWs, their historical climate-scale behavior, their drivers, connection to wildfire, and observed trends over the past seven decades

Data and methods
Hot and cold SAW flavors
Synoptic determinants of hot and cold SAWs
Southwestern precipitation and the Great Basin snow connection
Connection with wildfire
Discussion and conclusions
Full Text
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