Abstract
Reversing the evolution of traits harmful to humans, such as antimicrobial resistance, is a key ambition of applied evolutionary biology. A major impediment to reverse evolution is the relatively low spontaneous mutation rates that revert evolved genotypes back to their ancestral state. However, the repeated re-introduction of ancestral alleles by horizontal gene transfer (HGT) could make reverse evolution likely. Here we evolve populations of an antibiotic-resistant strain of Helicobacter pylori in growth conditions without antibiotics while introducing an ancestral antibiotic-sensitive allele by HGT. We evaluate reverse evolution using DNA sequencing and find that HGT facilitates the molecular reverse evolution of the antibiotic resistance allele, and that selection for high rates of HGT drives the evolution of increased HGT rates in low-HGT treatment populations. Finally, we use a theoretical model and carry out simulations to infer how the fitness costs of antibiotic resistance, rates of HGT and effects of genetic drift interact to determine the probability and predictability of reverse evolution.
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