High spatiotemporal resolution ammonia emission inventory from typical industrial and agricultural province of China from 2000 to 2020

Abstract

As a typical industrial and agricultural province, Shandong is one of China's most seriously air-polluted regions. One comprehensive ammonia emission inventory with a high spatial resolution (1 km × 1 km) for 136 county-level administrative divisions in Shandong from 2000 to 2020 is developed based on county-level activity data with the corrected and updated emission factors of seventy-seven subcategories. Annual ammonia emissions decrease from 1003.3 Gg in 2000 to 795.9 Gg in 2020, with an annual decrease rate of 1.2 %. Therein, the ammonia emissions associated with livestock and farmland ecosystems in 2020 account for 50.8 % and 32.9 % of the provincial total ammonia emission, respectively. Laying hen and wheat are the livestock and crop with the highest ammonia emissions, accounting for 23.3 % and 36.3 % of ammonia emissions from livestock and the application of synthetic fertilizers, respectively. Furthermore, waste treatment, humans and vehicles are the top three ammonia emission sources in urban areas, accounting for 5.0 %, 4.7 % and 1.3 % of total ammonia emissions, respectively. The spatial distribution of grids with high ammonia emissions is consistent with the distribution of intensive farms. Significant emission intensity areas mainly concentrate in western Shandong (e.g., Caoxian of Heze, Qihe of Dezhou, Yanggu of Liaocheng, Liangshan of Jining) due to the large area of arable land and the high levels of agricultural activity. Overall, prominent seasonal variability characteristics of ammonia emission are observed. Ammonia emissions tend to be high in summer and low in winter, and the August to January-emission ratio is 5.6. The high temperature and fertilization for maize are primarily responsible for Shandong's increase in ammonia emissions in summer. Finally, the validity of the estimates is further evaluated using uncertainty analysis and comparison with previous studies. This study can provide information to determine preferentially effective PM2.5 control strategies.