Abstract

Background Incidence of ischemic stroke increased after natural disasters. Therefore, it is important to establish a means of identifying high-risk populations for incident stroke. We performed a prospective cohort study to examine whether these three cardiovascular disease-related miRNAs (miR-126, miR-197, and miR-223) are associated with incident stroke among elderly survivors of the Great East Japan Earthquake. Method This cohort study was conducted using the data of 1192 survivors of the Great East Japan Earthquake over 60-years old who underwent a health check-up in December 2011. We followed up participants to record stroke cases until the end of 2016. We measured serum miRNAs by quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction. HRs for incident stroke were estimated by Cox proportional hazard regression analyses. Result The serum miR-197 level was significantly associated with the incident stroke; the HR per one standard deviation change in the miR-197 level was 1.65 (95% confidence interval: 1.19 − 2.30). In contrast, the levels of miR-126 and miR-223 were not associated with the incident stroke. Conclusion We found that a higher miR-197 level is associated with an increased risk of incident stroke; thus, miR-197 is expected to be useful as a predictive biomarker.

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