Abstract

Vector auto-regressive (VAR) models typically form the basis for constructing directed graphical models for investigating connectivity in a brain network with brain regions of interest (ROIs) as nodes. There are limitations in the standard VAR models. The number of parameters in the VAR model increases quadratically with the number of ROIs and linearly with the order of the model and thus due to the large number of parameters, the model could pose serious estimation problems. Moreover, when applied to imaging data, the standard VAR model does not account for variability in the connectivity structure across all subjects. In this paper, we develop a novel generalization of the VAR model that overcomes these limitations. To deal with the high dimensionality of the parameter space, we propose a Bayesian hierarchical framework for the VAR model that will account for both temporal correlation within a subject and between subject variation. Our approach uses prior distributions that give rise to estimates that correspond to penalized least squares criterion with the elastic net penalty. We apply the proposed model to investigate differences in effective connectivity during a hand grasp experiment between healthy controls and patients with residual motor deficit following a stroke.

Highlights

  • We focus on effective connectivity, studying lead-lag relationships where the directionality is determined by the temporal sequence in the model

  • We summarized the information across the 110 voxels in each regions of interest (ROIs) by the mean of functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) time series

  • Credible regions were delimited by the 0.025 contour line of the empirical histogram that approximates the lag-joint distribution. (Figure 2) shows the Granger causality networks by group and condition

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Summary

Introduction

The analysis of brain networks has played an important role in characterizing and understanding brain processes and diseases (Bassett and Bullmore, 2009). Pollonini et al (2010) showed that connectivity between different regions of the brain can differentiate between subjects with autism from healthy controls, and they suggested that connectivity patterns may provide an indicator for the early detection of autism. Wu et al (2010) showed that the effective connectivity between the motor regions changes as movements become more automatic in patients with Parkinson’s disease. Wang et al (2011) showed that HIV infection has an effect on resting-state connectivity. Benetti et al (2009) and Skudlarski et al (2010) showed the effects of schizophrenia on brain connectivity. Pollonini et al (2010) showed that connectivity between different regions of the brain can differentiate between subjects with autism from healthy controls, and they suggested that connectivity patterns may provide an indicator for the early detection of autism. We develop the hierarchical vector-autoregressive (VAR) model to study alterations in brain effective connectivity in patients with chronic stroke. We shall demonstrate that the hierarchical VAR has a number of advantages: (i) it offers a flexible statistical framework for comparing connectivity across experimental conditions (e.g., active vs rest) and subject groups (e.g., healthy vs disease); (ii) it quantifies the extent to which a covariate (such as age or genotype) can modify or moderate connectivity; and (iii) it correctly accounts for between-subject heterogeneity in the connectivity structure by including subject-specific parameters in the connectivity model

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