Abstract

The SARS-COV-2 pandemic, causing COVID-19 had a specific pattern of spread in Bulgaria during several waves from 15.06.2020 to 31.03.2021. The measures, which the health authorities took to prevent the spread in the kindergarten and schools, combined with several other factors, specific for Bulgaria made them the main driver of the pandemic. In this article we propose heuristic framework as a strategy for health risk management, based on the properties of the virus and the properties of children’s immune system.

Highlights

  • The coronavirus SARS-COV-2 virus has a number of features that have caused a pandemic and posed a challenge to health authorities around the world, who must manage the risk of its spread with all its consequences, in the short and long term

  • Cause by lack of information are manifested by human behavior – delayed reactions to pandemic treats; improper measures taken, lack of compliance from the public without enforcement; lack of information who is infected leading directly to increased prevalence and mortality; lack of information for long term health effects for the younger that leads directly to more risky behavior; lack of basic knowledge in biology and critical thinking that leads to vaccine skepticism (Kault, 2020)

  • Asymptomatic transmission creates two types of risks – one is from the lack of information for the spread and lack of controllability of the pandemic, rendering other measures ineffective; the other is the health risk for asymptomatic individuals to develop sudden health deterioration due to lack of treatment and the presence of blood cloths that can lead to pulmonary embolism and death or long Covid issues

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Summary

Introduction

The coronavirus SARS-COV-2 virus has a number of features that have caused a pandemic and posed a challenge to health authorities around the world, who must manage the risk of its spread with all its consequences, in the short and long term. IDENTIFICATION OF HEALTH RISKS There are two types or health risk causes – created by human behavior and by the characteristics of the pathogen.

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