Abstract
Population-based studies on the natural history of chronic viral liver disease that consider co-morbidity factors, such as alcohol or metabolic diseases, are lacking. We report here the contribution of ethanol intake and non-organ-specific autoantibodies (NOSA) to the course of chronic viral disease in the Dionysos cohort. As reported elsewhere, the Dionysos study was performed in two towns of Northern Italy, started in 1992 with 10 years of follow-up in 2002, and allowed us to quantify the burden of chronic liver disease in Northern Italy. We followed 139 subjects with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection and 61 with chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection for a median (IQR) time of 8.4 (1.0) and 8.3 (0.9) years, respectively. The incidence and remission rates of steatosis were 9.0 and 29.7 per 1,000 person-years in the HCV cohort and 4.0 and 30.4 per 1,000 person-years in the HBV cohort. Progression to cirrhosis and hepatocarcinoma was more common in the HCV than in the HBV cohort. In the HCV cohort, ethanol intake was an independent predictor of liver cirrhosis and of death rate in both cohorts. We found no association between baseline NOSA and 8.4-year mortality. We conclude that morbidity and mortality rate of HBV and HCV infection in the general population is lower than that reported in secondary care populations, blood donors, or clinical series, and that ethanol intake >30 g/day is the most important and evitable risk factor for cirrhosis and death in patients with chronic HCV or HBV infection.
Published Version
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