Harmonization of semi-objective ANP with explained CRITIC for quantitative evaluation of fire hazard risks for flame-retardant materials

Abstract

The fire hazard assessment of polymers and the effect of flame retardants constitutes the foundation for preventing and managing fire risks to public safety. This study addresses key challenges by considering intrinsic hazards, indicator volatility and correlations, while overcoming subjectivity in weight assignment and the neglect of flame-retardant treatments. Firstly, we initiate two novel steps of Pearson correlation analysis and predefined comparative scales for indicators, which enhance the objectivity, scalability and repeatability of analytic network process (ANP) weights. Secondly, we utilize the CRITIC method to incorporate indicator volatility and correlations, surpassing the limitations of separate calculations and subsequent combinations. The newly developed pure sample normalization method enhances the interpretability and scientific validity of CRITIC weights. Combining the ANP and CRITIC weights using Nash equilibrium theory, the results rectify the underestimated T-5% from 0.72% to 3.64%, reducing the overestimated PCO2, PSP and TSP from 11.98%, 9.62% and 9.59–7.25%, 9.12% and 5.69%, respectively. Finally, the fire hazards value effectively captures the increased fire hazards resulting from specific degraded indicators following flame retardant treatments. The research findings provide a fresh perspective for the safe design of flame-retardant polymers and fire hazard assessment, offering valuable insights for fire risk prevention and management.