Abstract

This paper assesses the low-carbon economy in Asia: how large it is today and how well it will fare in the future. Using patent and trade data, it analyzes the potential of Asian economies to capture value from the design and export of low-carbon technologies, acknowledging that these are only two dimensions of a multidimensional low-carbon economy. It conducts country-level analysis to identify which technologies different countries can specialize in and potentially scale up. The work shows that, overall, Asia has an innovation specialization and revealed comparative advantage in climate change mitigation technologies. Particular strengths include efficient lighting, photovoltaics, and energy storage technologies. Further opportunities include nuclear and smart grids. However, within Asia, there are regional disparities, with countries such as the People’s Republic of China, Japan, and the Republic of Korea outperforming others. This paper highlights how the analytical framework it presents can be used to strategically inform environmental policy makers and concludes with an overview of the green growth policy tool kit.

Highlights

  • Every economist knows that gross domestic product (GDP) is an inaccurate measure of human welfare

  • Asia is on track to capture value from the design and export of key climate change mitigation technologies (CCMT) such as energy storage, photovoltaics, and efficient lighting

  • Our analysis has shown that, as a whole, Asia is on track to capture value from the design and export of key CCMTs such as energy storage, photovoltaics, and efficient lighting

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Summary

INTRODUCTION

Every economist knows that gross domestic product (GDP) is an inaccurate measure of human welfare. More so than sustainable development, green growth emphasizes the possibility, the desirability, of pursuing economic growth and environmental protection at the same time (Jacobs 2012). The business of reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions is probably the most prominent aspect of green economic growth to date It is worth emphasizing the comprehensive nature of green growth, which is not just low carbon, and climate resilient, biodiverse, clean, and sustainable (Bowen and Fankhauser 2011). We provide a definition and sets out the rationale for green growth It covers relatively recent literature, and many of the assertions made about the mechanisms and benefits of green growth are awaiting further empirical corroboration. They are presented here to highlight the most up-to-date thinking in the field

Definition and Rationale
Operationalizing Green Growth
HOW BIG IS THE GREEN ECONOMY IN ASIA TODAY?
Sizing Green Industry
Green Industry in Asia Today
HOW BIG COULD THE GREEN ECONOMY BE IN ASIA TOMORROW?
Estimating the Future Green Industry
Asia’s Potential in the Green Economy
Russian Federation
Nuclear
Philippines
Viet Nam
Indonesia
Republic of Korea
POLICIES FOR PURSUING GREEN GROWTH
Nonprice Mechanisms
CONCLUSIONS
Findings
28 | References
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