Abstract
Growth rate analysis indicates IPCC 2100 storage targets are achievable, however tradeoffs exist between CO2 storage resource requirements, storage growth rate, and growth duration, with a ceiling on required storage resources of 2700 Gt.
Highlights
Integrated assessment models have identified carbon capture and storage (CCS) as an important technology for limiting climate change
To achieve the climate targets outlined by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), many scenarios require over 1000 gigatons of CO2 stored underground by the end of the century
The maximum global storage rates of logistic scenarios achieving these targets are at the upper end of scenarios considered by the IPCC.[1,2]
Summary
Integrated assessment models have identified carbon capture and storage (CCS) as an important technology for limiting climate change. We show how logistic growth models, a common tool in resource assessment, provide a mathematical framework for stakeholders to monitor short-term CCS deployment progress and long-term resource requirements in the context of climate change mitigation targets.
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